*NEWS* ANTARCTIC GLACIERS SHRINKING

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Date: Saturday April 23, 2005 11:04:00 am
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    Study Shows Antarctic Glaciers Shrinking
    LONDON(April 05)-The
    first comprehensive survey of glaciers on the Antarctic peninsula has shown that
    the rivers of ice are shrinking, mostly because of warming of the local
    climate.

    It is unclear, however, whether the increased temperature
    causing the shrinkage is a natural regional effect or a result of
    human-influenced global warming, said the scientists who conducted the study,
    published this week in the journal Science.

    Researchers from the British Antarctic Survey and the U.S.
    Geological Survey analyzed more than 2,000 aerial photographs dating from 1940
    and over 100 satellite images from the 1960s onwards.

    They calculated that 87 percent of the 244 glaciers going
    out to sea from the peninsula have retreated over the last 50 years and that the
    pace of shrinkage has accelerated over the last decade. Until now, scientists
    were uncertain whether the glaciers were growing or melting.

    ”Fifty years ago, most of the glaciers we look at were
    slowly growing in length but since then this pattern has reversed. In the last
    five years the majority were actually shrinking rapidly,” said the study’s
    leader, Alison Cook of the British Antarctic Survey. ”However, 32 glaciers go
    against the trend and are showing minor advance. Had we not studied such a large
    number of glaciers we may have missed the overall pattern.”

    The Antarctic peninsula is a small segment of the Antarctic
    continent, located at the South Pole, and the behavior of the ice on the
    peninsula is not necessarily a reflection of what’s going on elsewhere in
    Antarctica, said another of the investigators, David Vaughan of the British
    Antarctic Survey.

    Temperatures seem to be much warmer there than on the rest
    of the continent.

    Evidence from the main Antarctic ice sheet is mixed, with
    some areas of the continent showing shrinkage and others showing thickening.

    Ice shrinkage has also been documented in Alaska and the
    North Pole.

    Scientists worry about the melting of the ice sheets
    because the extra water may increase sea levels, which in turn could mean more
    flooding damage to coastal areas during storms.

    Sea levels have risen by 10 centimeters to 20 centimeters
    over the last 100 years and experts predict it could rise by a meter over the
    next 100 years. However, the study was not able to tell whether the shrinkage is
    having a meaningful impact on sea levels.

    It is also unclear whether changes in the larger ice sheet
    in Antarctica are contributing to sea level rise, Vaughan said.

    ”This is another piece in the jigsaw that tells us how
    climate change is affecting the planet. It may not be a significant piece, but
    there’s a million-piece jigsaw out there to be filled in … and this is one
    piece in it,” Vaughan said.

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