IS HP LOSING ITS INKJET RELIGION ?

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Date: Monday August 15, 2005 07:55:00 am
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    IS HP Losing its Inkjet Religion?
    In recent weeks, the world has gotten a much better sense of HP CEO Mark
    Hurd. If Carly Fiorina liked sweeping visions and bold growth strategies, this
    guy is pure pragmatism. That’s why he’s killed high-profile R&D projects,
    such as one effort led by former Xerox, Apple and Microsoft luminary Alan Kay to create a kind of next-generation Internet
    browser. And that’s why he walked away from a high-profile deal to sell Apple’s
    iPod, which was never going to be a big money-maker for the company. Even though
    HP is contractually locked out of the digital music player market for another
    year or so, Hurd evidently felt there’s no time like the present to stop
    investing time and money in something that’s not critical to the company’s
    future.

    That’s all fine. But now that we know what he doesn’t want HP to do, what
    does he want?

    We got a clue yesterday, when HP purchased Israel-based Scitex Corp Ltd. The
    company makes industrial-strength digital printing presses used to do
    large-format printing used to create product packaging, billboards and such–all
    the way up to those mega-advertisements that cover buses and buildings.

    It’s not a huge market, to be sure. But the acquisition implies that HP may
    be ready to take the gloves off and finally get after its biggest single
    opportunity: expanding its printer empire. Today, HP dominates the market for
    inkjet and laser priniters used by consumers and in offices. But more than 90%
    of printed pages–from newspapers, to brochures, to junk mail–are handled by
    more industrial strength equipment. This is a $200 billion-plus market, making
    it one of few potential markets big enough to matter should Hurd want to make HP
    a growth company again. But besides lots of nifty slideware, HP has made very
    little real progress.

    Buying Scitex indicates a change–particularly with regard to how HP hopes to
    make its move. Over the years, the company has spun a vision in which its
    homegrown thermal inkjet cartridge would single-handedly conquer this vast new
    world. It was an understandable ambition. Since this tiny device spit out its
    first image in a closet in an HP R&D center in Corvallis, Oregon in the
    early 1980s, the diminutive device has turned into one of the great profit
    engines any company has ever known.

    But many experts say the thermal inkjet cartridge has pretty much reached its
    full potential. For starters, HP would have to figure how to line up hundreds of
    thousands of tiny nozzles (rather than the few thousand that are in HP’s most
    advanced current products) to crank out pages nearly as fast as other
    approaches. What’s more, thermal inkjets used inks that are water-based.
    Skeptics say that means thermal inkjet-based output is never going to be as
    long-lasting or rain-proof as other printing techniques can offer.

    To be sure, HP hasn’t given up on its dreams for thermal inkjet technoloogy.
    It recently unveiled a new scaleable printing
    technology, on which it spent $1.4 billion over five years, which it
    claims can be used for commercial printing and possibly in photo-processing
    gear.

    But buying Scitex shows that HP is losing its thermal inkjet religion to some
    degree. That’s because Scitek’s gear is based on a piezo technology that uses
    electricity to force droplets of ink onto the page (thermal inkjets, such as
    HP’s, use heating elements to vaporize the ink for a few micro-seconds, so it
    can be shot onto the page). It’s not the first proof point of the changing
    philosophy. Just days before it bought Compaq Computer in 2001, HP bought a
    digital press company called Indigo Ltd, whose high-speed printers use a liquid
    ink more similar to the type used in traditional offset printing presses.

    But Hurd’s backing of the Scitex deal suggests that he agrees with this
    approach. To be sure, hedging its bets by developing many different print
    technologies simultaneously may not be the most efficient way for HP to proceed.
    But if HP is serious about expanding its printer empire, and printing big
    profits rather than just slideware, it’s the approach that’s most likely to
    succeed.

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