ECB raises eurozone rates to 4%
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates for the eurozone to 4% from 3.75%.
The
increase takes rates in the area to their highest level for six years
and means they have doubled in 18 months.The rise had been expected
following a series of inflationary warnings from ECB members in recent
weeks.At his news conference, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet used a
form of words to suggest there may be more rate rises this year, but
not next month.
Confidence high
The eurozone economies, especially Germany, have been growing strongly in 2007.
Unemployment
in the eurozone is at its lowest level since the launch of the euro
while confidence is high and business activity is expanding.The ECB has
revised upwards its forecast for inflation in the eurozone this year to
2% from 1.8% but it has not changed its forecast of 2% for next year.Mr
Trichet said that eurozone monetary policy is “still on the
accommodative side”, which analysts interpreted to mean that he was
prepared to allow this growth to continue.
‘Monitor closely’
If
Mr Trichet had dropped the word “accommodative” from the statement, it
would have suggested that rates were approaching their peak.And the ECB
president did not use the term “strong vigilance”, which he used in May
as a signal that rates would rise this month.He said that the ECB’s
governing council would “monitor closely all developments”.In the past,
saying that he was watching inflation “very closely” meant that a rise
was a few months away.”Trichet is in close monitoring mode, liquidity
is ample and more importantly he says monetary conditions remain
accommodative – that confirms that there are more rate hikes in the
pipeline,” said Audrey Childe-Freeman, an economist at CIBC World
Markets.Marc Stocker from BusinessEurope, which represents 20 million
European companies, said: “We don’t have any strong reservations with
today’s decision, which was justified by prevailing economic
conditions.”The ECB’s benchmark rate – the rate that has been raised
from 3.75% to 4% – is the minimum bid rate for its regular refinancing
operations.Its two other key rates have gone up by the same amount. The
deposit rate is now 3% and the marginal lending rate is 5%.